Bitcoin (BTC) was trading near a recent price floor as the weekend began on a bearish note. Bitcoin is trading slightly lower on Saturday, below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, with resistance at $17,250.
Stock-to-Flow Sets a New Low
An already negative trend has been reinforced by the continuous drop in BTC’s price in the wake of the FTX controversy. This affects not only miners but also some of Bitcoin’s most well-known metrics, and it has repercussions for many other essential parts of the Bitcoin network.
One of these is stock-to-flow (S2F), whose price predictions are under greater scrutiny and criticism. The model, which used block subsidy halving occurrences as a central ingredient in plotting exponential price growth through the years, was very popular until Bitcoin’s last all-time high in November 2021.
While S2F is not “up only,” it does allow for large price swings; yet, even with those factors taken into consideration, current targets remain significantly higher than the current market price.
On November 19th, Bitcoin should trade for a little over $72,000, or a multiple of -1.47, according to the dedicated tracking resource S2F Multiple. On November 10th, as the market felt the effects of FTX, the multiple touched -1.5, a negative reading is never seen before in S2F’s history.
FTX Problems are Getting Even Worse
Despite the fact that it has been two weeks, FTX-driven fear, uncertainty, and doubt (FUD) is keeping Bitcoin prices under pressure. FTX was under the watchful eye of the Securities Commission of Bahamas (SCB) earlier this week.
To look into FTX’s violations, the regulator teamed up with the Financial Crimes Investigation Branch. The commission’s swift denial of the SCB’s request came after FTX announced it would begin allowing Bahamian funds withdrawals. Recent news, however, shows that SCB action was taken against the exchange days before the investigation even began.
Earlier this week, the governing body issued a statement saying it had taken control of FTX Digital Markets (FDM) funds and transferred them to a digital wallet managed by the SCB. The commission claimed they did this to protect customer money and assets.
With more authorities looking into the FTX exchange, the company’s already dire situation deteriorated further. Disruptions to the cryptocurrency market have followed the exchange’s closure. Because of this, people who hold BTC/USD might decide to liquidate their holdings for safety reasons.
The unpredictable market movement also means the price could go up, down, or sideways.
Bitcoin Price Prediction
It began trading at $16,683, with a high of $16,772 and a low of $ 16,564. BTC/USD is currently trading at $16,653, down by nearly 0.50% in 24 hours. CoinMarketCap now ranks first, with a live market cap of $320 billion. It has a total supply of 21,000,000 BTC coins and a circulating supply of 19,211,562.
Bitcoin’s price is consolidating within a wide trading range, currently between $15,800 to $17,200. Since Bitcoin’s price dropped below the 23.6% Fibonacci level of $17,250, the chances of a downtrend remain strong until the next support area of $15,800.
On the downside, Bitcoin’s immediate support is at $14,530, and if the bearish trend continues, the price could fall as low as $13,850. Because the RSI and 50-day moving average indicate a bearish bias, the price of Bitcoin could fall below $15,830 if current support fails to hold.
Today, however, the selling bias remains strong below the $17,250 level. On the other hand, increased BTC demand can push the BTC/USD price above $18,250 and toward $20,000.
Top Crypto Coins on Pre-Sale
Dash 2 Trade (D2T)
Dash 2 Trade is an Ethereum-based trading intelligence platform that provides real-time analytics and social data to traders of all skill levels, allowing them to make more informed decisions.
It started its token sale three weeks ago and has already raised more than $6.5 million. It also announced its first CEX listing on LBank exchange.
The current value of 1 D2T is 0.0513 USDT, but this is expected to rise to $0.0533 in the next stage of sales and $0.0662 in the final stage.
Calvaria is a new cryptocurrency gaming project that has the potential to dominate the market for play-to-earn games. One of the main barriers to widespread Web3 gaming adoption, according to Calvaria developers, is that games require users to have technical knowledge of crypto. This means that a large number of users are excluded.
As a result, Calvaria allows users who do not own cryptocurrency to participate in the game, distinguishing it from the competition and allowing a whole new audience to participate.
Calvaria’s presale is picking up steam, with the project already in stage 4 of 10 and nearly $1.8 million in funding.
1 RIA token costs $0.025 at the moment, but this will rise incrementally with each subsequent stage of the presale, which is currently in Stage 4.
Another project with the potential to change the gaming community and the virtual world is RobotEra (TARO). Although the asset’s presale has only recently begun, there is already a lot of interest from potential buyers.
The platform’s native token is TARO, and it is a blockchain-based Metaverse where users can create avatars and explore a digital world. Players in RobotEra can buy land, build on it, and expand their regions with various assets.
RobotEra also has a shared metaverse where users can participate in a variety of activities such as sports, concerts, and other competitive events. The first stage of TARO’s presale is now live, and it is quickly selling out.